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The
prolonged and devastating weakness in financial
stocks came to an end last week as the Government
presented a plan that takes strong measures to
create liquidity for those institutions that are
immobilized by underperforming mortgage-backed
securities. Although Lehman Brothers was forced
to seek protection by declaring Chapter 11 bankruptcy,
most financial stocks rallied sharply on Thursday
and Friday. The extraordinarily high market volatility
was matched only by that witnessed in the October,
1987 meltdown.
If passed by the joint houses of
Congress, the proposed measures should create
increased confidence in our financial institutions
and result in a gradual resumption of activity
in the Nation's credit markets. In this regard,
investors are better off today than one week ago.
Beneath the hysteria and the emotions
of the marketplace, our Nation's economy faces
the same challenges that it did six months and
one year ago. It will take time for the economy
to absorb the excess supply of housing that is
currently on the market for sale and to adjust
to the reality of higher energy prices. However,
in our opinion, the marketplace has now discounted
these problems and most stock prices should hold
above their recent lows during future market downdrafts.
Although we believe that the recovery in the stock
market will be gradual, many solid long-term opportunities
are currently available for diligent and circumspect
investors.
At The Killen Group we continue
to navigate these treacherous waters by pursuing
our value oriented investment philosophy that
has served us so well in the past and produced
positive year-to-date results for our individually
managed accounts. After this past week, we have
a higher level of confidence that the low point
for our investment portfolios occurred in mid-January
of this year.
This commentary is intended for informational
purposes only. It is not an offer to buy or sell
any security and should not be considered investment
advice.
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